March 22, 2024
Heavy rainfall likely Saturday March 23
Although there continue to be slight differences in the storm track the models are in pretty good agreement that tomorrow will be quite wet. Rain should develop from south to north in the area starting overnight Friday (tonight) and become steady a short while before daybreak. Steady rain continues throughout the day Saturday, becoming heavier in the afternoon before tapering off in the evening.
Total rainfall of 2 - 3 inches forecast.
The NWS has issued a flood watch. They are mostly concerned about small streams topping their banks a bit in the afternoon, although some road ponding and field flooding is also possible.
There is very little likelihood of a thunderstorm or locally heavy downpour, but it can't be ruled out.
Sunday likely clear and breezy, with gusts in the 20s probable.
Just in time. We're only 26-50% over average right now. Practically a drought.
New Jersey Year to Date Precipitation Departures (weather.gov)
Saturday March 23 update
The forecast is on track for rain today, moderate to heavy, 2 - 3 inches. Heaviest rain from late morning through early evening. The system seems to be moving a bit faster than forecast so rain should be mostly over by 5pm.
The NWS has issued a flood watch. Fast reacting streams may top their banks by a little this afternoon, and watch for road and field ponding.
Tonight, breezy, steady winds of 20mph likely with gusts in the high 30s. The NWS has isssud a wind advisory for tonight and early tomorrow morning.
max_weisenfeld said:
Saturday March 23 update
The forecast is on track for rain today, moderate to heavy, 2 - 3 inches. Heaviest rain from late morning through early evening. The system seems to be moving a bit faster than forecast so rain should be mostly over by 5pm.
The NWS has issued a flood watch. Fast reacting streams may top their banks by a little this afternoon, and watch for road and field ponding.
Tonight, breezy, steady winds of 20mph likely with gusts in the high 30s. The NWS has isssud a wind advisory for tonight and early tomorrow morning.
Thanks again, Max!
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Thurs Mar 21
Rain Saturday
Though there remain some differences in track, all the models show a significant rain storm on Saturday. Rain most or all day could total 1½ to 2½ inches.